Uruguay hold a clear edge on paper, but Cape Verde’s defensive resolve keeps this competitive.
Uruguay Form and Insights
Uruguay arrive at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami carrying the weight of two World Cup titles and a squad in the midst of a genuine generational shift. Bielsa’s side drew 1-1 with Saudi Arabia on Matchday 1, leaving Group H perfectly level and making this second fixture a pivotal one: three points here would put La Celeste in a commanding position ahead of a final group date with Spain. Midfielder Maximiliano Araújo has already opened his account at this tournament and is one to watch as Uruguay’s engine room looks to assert the superiority their Elo rating — significantly stronger on paper than Cape Verde’s — demands. FIFA World Cup 2026 Predictor tools and analysts alike point to Uruguay as the likeliest winner, though Bielsa’s system, built around pressing and vertical transitions rather than a lone-striker reference, must find a way through a Cape Verde backline that has not yet conceded at this World Cup.
- Goals scored: 0.6 per game
- Goals conceded: 1.4 per game
- Win rate: 0%
- Both teams score: 60.0% of games
- Clean sheets: 40.0% of games
Cape Verde Islands Form and Insights
Cape Verde are writing their World Cup story for the very first time, and they have made a remarkable opening statement: a goalless draw with Spain in Atlanta announced the island nation as a side not easily broken down. Under coach Bubista, the Blue Sharks have shown that their compact defensive shape and collective discipline can frustrate even the most sophisticated opponents. Attacker Dailon Rocha Livramento is one to track as Cape Verde look to add an attacking dimension to the resilience that earned them their debut-tournament point — and the recent form signal that shows Cape Verde carrying the stronger scoring trend of these two sides is a detail Uruguay cannot afford to ignore. No absences have been reported for the Cape Verde camp ahead of this fixture. The AI Prediction Football community will note that, while Cape Verde’s win probability sits at just 14%, their ability to hold a clean sheet in their opener makes them a live threat for at least a share of the spoils.
- Goals scored: 1.4 per game
- Goals conceded: 1.4 per game
- Win rate: 40.0%
- Both teams score: 20.0% of games
- Clean sheets: 60.0% of games
Head-to-Head Statistics
There is no World Cup head-to-head record between these two nations — Sunday’s meeting in Miami is the first documented encounter between Uruguay and Cape Verde at the global finals.
Uruguay
Cape Verde Islands
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
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Our Prediction
Uruguay’s probability stands at 63%, with the draw at 24% and Cape Verde at 14%, reflecting the significant Elo gap between a two-time world champion and a first-time finalist. Cape Verde’s defensive solidity and their stronger recent scoring trend mean the draw cannot be dismissed — Group H’s Matchday 1 produced three draws, a sign of how tightly contested this group is. Back Uruguay as the lean, but treat the draw as a genuine live outcome given Cape Verde’s proven ability to frustrate higher-ranked opposition.
Back Uruguay to win, but keep the stake conservative given Cape Verde’s proven defensive resilience and the very real 24% draw probability.
Match Details
- Date22 Jun 2026
- Kick-off06:00 MYT
- CompetitionFIFA World Cup
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