Belgium hold a clear edge on paper — back the Red Devils to win.
Belgium Form and Insights
Belgium arrive at SoFi Stadium as Group G’s heavyweights, having qualified for 2026 with an unbeaten campaign that yielded 29 goals across eight matches. Rudi Garcia’s Red Devils opened the tournament with a 1-1 draw against Egypt — a result that left all four Group G sides locked on a point — and the pressure to deliver three points here is real. Belgium carry the stronger recent scoring trend in this group, and defender Timothy Castagne is one player to watch as the side looks to impose its quality from the first whistle.
- Goals scored: 2.8 per game
- Goals conceded: 0.8 per game
- Win rate: 60.0%
- Both teams score: 60.0% of games
- Clean sheets: 40.0% of games
Iran Form and Insights
Iran, coached by Amir Ghalenoei, showed considerable character in their opener, twice fighting back to claim a 2-2 draw against New Zealand. Ramin Rezaeian — who scored and assisted in that match — gives Iran a genuine outlet capable of hurting any side on a given day. Iran have conceded more often recently, however, and the task of containing Belgium’s attacking options while posing their own threat will demand a near-perfect collective effort in Los Angeles.
- Goals scored: 2.6 per game
- Goals conceded: 1.0 per game
- Win rate: 60.0%
- Both teams score: 60.0% of games
- Clean sheets: 40.0% of games
Head-to-Head Statistics
There is no previous World Cup meeting between Belgium and Iran to draw upon, meaning this Group G clash is a first encounter of its kind at the tournament. No historical signal can be leaned on — this fixture will write its own record.
Belgium
Iran
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
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Our Prediction
Belgium’s Elo rating sits 123 points above Iran’s, translating to a moderate edge on paper that is reflected in the probabilities: Belgium at 65%, the draw at 21%, and Iran at 13%. The FIFA World Cup 2026 Predictor leans Belgium, and the scoring form supports it — but Iran’s ability to find the net, as shown against New Zealand, means the draw remains a live outcome worth respecting. AI Prediction Football assessments in tight group matches consistently flag that the lower-ranked side can find a foothold when the favourite is not yet firing on all cylinders.
Back Belgium to win, but treat the draw at 21% as a genuine risk worth noting given how open this group remains.
Match Details
- Date22 Jun 2026
- Kick-off03:00 MYT
- CompetitionFIFA World Cup
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