England edge Norway in a tight quarter-final at Hard Rock Stadium.
Norway Form and Insights
Norway arrive at this FIFA World Cup 2026 quarter-final having already written the most remarkable chapter in their football history. Stale Solbakken’s side came through Group I as runners-up behind France before eliminating Ivory Coast in the Round of 32 and then producing a stunning 2-1 win over Brazil in the last 16 to reach the last eight for the first time ever. Erling Haaland has been the driving force throughout, scoring seven goals in four appearances so far at this tournament — a tally that puts him level at the top of the Golden Boot race — and Norway will look to him again to test an England defence that has conceded in each of its last three matches.
- Goals scored: 2.4 per game
- Goals conceded: 1.8 per game
- Expected Goals: 1.86
- Expected Goals Conceded: 1.62
- Win rate: 80.0%
- Both teams score: 100.0% of games
- Clean sheets: 0% of games
England Form and Insights
England come in as the side with a slight edge on paper, backed by an Elo rating of 2076 against Norway’s 1972, and Thomas Tuchel has spoken of his squad’s ‘pure mentality’ after fighting past co-hosts Mexico 3-2 in the Round of 16, a match England played for long stretches with ten men following Jarell Quansah’s red card. That suspension means England must reshuffle at the back for this quarter-final, a test Tuchel will have been preparing for carefully. Harry Kane, with six goals and one assist in this campaign, leads the line alongside Jude Bellingham, who has four goals and one assist and is quickly becoming the creative heartbeat of this England team. Using a FIFA World Cup 2026 Predictor framework, both men represent the sharpest attacking edge Tuchel can call on here.
- Goals scored: 2.2 per game
- Goals conceded: 1.0 per game
- Expected Goals: 1.94
- Expected Goals Conceded: 0.84
- Win rate: 80.0%
- Both teams score: 60.0% of games
- Clean sheets: 40.0% of games
Head-to-Head Statistics
There is no World Cup head-to-head record between these two nations to draw on, making Saturday’s quarter-final in Miami the first time they have ever met at this stage of the tournament.
Norway
England
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|
Our Prediction
England are the lean at 51%, with Norway given a 23% chance of victory and the draw sitting at 26% — figures that underline just how open this tie is. England’s deeper squad and tighter defensive record across this tournament tilt the scales, but Norway’s recent form of conceding in every game comes with the flipside that they have scored in every game too, meaning Haaland and company remain a genuine threat to upset the balance. The draw is very much alive at 26%, so any bet on England to win requires acceptance that a tense extra-time scenario is a real possibility. AI Prediction Football signals England as the slight lean, not a comfortable favourite.
Back England to win, but treat it as a narrow lean rather than a confident call given that the draw sits at 26% and Haaland can change any game on his own.
Match Details
- Date12 Jul 2026
- Kick-off05:00 MYT
- CompetitionFIFA World Cup
Get the best odds and exclusive welcome rewards at U88Game — Malaysia’s trusted sports betting platform.
